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Incident report · 2026041403

Mariana-Guam Cable: latency up to 4.3× normal, 14 Apr 2026

Resolved · 1d 16h
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What we measured

CableMariana-Guam Cable
SegmentSaipan, MP → Tanguisson Point, GU
Detected2026-04-14 05:01 UTC
Resolved2026-04-15 21:12 UTC
Duration1d 16h
Observed latency109.9 ms
Baseline25.6 ms · 4.31×
Increase+331%
Severitywarning

Who is affected

Countries where Mariana-Guam Cable comes ashore, how much of their submarine diversity this cable represents, and what our measurements into them show.

CountryDependence on this cableOther submarine cablesWhat the measurements show
Guam
resilience index: 83 · resilient
1 of 19 cables (5% of submarine diversity) Apricot, Asia Connect Cable-1 (ACC-1), Asia-America Gateway (AAG) Cable System +15 more median 297 ms today vs 264 ms over 30 days (59 routes) - unchanged
Northern Mariana Islands
resilience index: 69 · moderate
1 of 6 cables (17% of submarine diversity) Atisa, Bulikula, Halaihai +2 more average 6 ms over the last day vs 92 ms over 30 days - faster

Dependence is structural (share of the country's submarine cables), not a traffic share: real traffic distribution across cables is not public.

Path analysis

Traffic kept the same route. Latency rose without a visible path change, which points at congestion or a fault on the existing route rather than a reroute.

Cross-probe verdict. Other measurements did not confirm the event. We treat this as a probable false positive and label it as such.

Timeline

Detection method

Latency is sampled continuously from our probe network. An alert opens when round-trip time to a monitored endpoint holds above its rolling baseline, and closes automatically once it returns. Full method is described on the methodology page.

How to cite

GeoCables (2026). Incident 2026041403: Mariana-Guam Cable. https://geocables.com/incident/2026041403

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